Biglari Holdings Valuation

BH Stock  USD 412.23  4.67  1.15%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Biglari Holdings shows a prevailing Real Value of $414.97 per share. The current price of the firm is $412.23. Our model approximates the value of Biglari Holdings from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.01 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0035 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Biglari Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
2.1794
Enterprise Value
1.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
26.6941
Price Sales
3.295
Trailing PE
188.6852
Fairly Valued
Today
412.23
Please note that Biglari Holdings' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Biglari Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Biglari Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Biglari Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Biglari Stock. However, Biglari Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  412.23 Real  414.97 Target  500.0 Hype  408.31
The intrinsic value of Biglari Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Biglari Holdings' stock price.
411.56
Downside
414.97
Real Value
418.38
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Biglari Holdings helps investors to forecast how Biglari stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Biglari Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Biglari Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.25-0.25-0.25
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
404.90408.31453.45
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
455.00500.00555.00
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Biglari Holdings, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Biglari Holdings Cash

31.08 Million

Biglari Revenue by Product

Biglari Holdings Total Value Analysis

Biglari Holdings is currently forecasted to have takeover value of 1.26 B with market capitalization of 1.27 B, debt of 150.19 M, and cash on hands of 30.71 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Biglari Holdings fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.26 B
1.27 B
150.19 M
30.71 M

Biglari Holdings Investor Information

About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Biglari Holdings was currently reported as 935.04. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of June 1996. Biglari Holdings had 3:2 split on the 1st of May 2018. Based on the key indicators related to Biglari Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Biglari Holdings may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.05980.0574
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities58 M57.1 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income32 M26.6 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Biglari Holdings Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Biglari Holdings has an asset utilization ratio of 41.81 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.42 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Biglari Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Biglari Holdings Profitability Analysis

Based on Biglari Holdings' profitability indicators, Biglari Holdings may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high chance of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Biglari Holdings' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
50.9 M
Current Value
-5.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
24.3 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The Biglari Holdings' current Operating Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.06, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to under 144 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.230.34
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.05980.0574
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
For Biglari Holdings profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Biglari Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Biglari Holdings utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Biglari Holdings's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Biglari Holdings over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Biglari Holdings Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Biglari Holdings is estimated to be -0.25 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.25 to a high of -0.25. Biglari Holdings' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.16. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Biglari Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Biglari Holdings is projected to generate -0.25 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2018. Biglari Holdings earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Biglari Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Biglari Holdings' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Biglari Holdings, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Biglari Holdings Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Biglari Holdings' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Biglari Holdings is estimated to be -0.25 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.25 to a high of -0.25. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Biglari Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
-6.75
-0.25
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.25
-0.25
Highest

Biglari Holdings Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Biglari Holdings' value are higher than the current market price of the Biglari Holdings stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Biglari Holdings is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Biglari Holdings' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2018Current EPS (TTM)
122.29%
-6.75
-0.25
2.16

Biglari Holdings Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Biglari Holdings is $1.27 Billion. The majority of Biglari Holdings outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Biglari Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Biglari Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Biglari Holdings as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Biglari Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 362.11 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (3.76 M) with gross profit of 147.95 M.

About Biglari Holdings Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Biglari Stock, attempts to find the value of Biglari Holdings based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Biglari Holdings's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Biglari Holdings's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Biglari Holdings. We calculate exposure to Biglari Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Biglari Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit159.4 M144 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.03)(0.02)
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Net Loss(0.01)(0.01)
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.23 

Biglari Holdings Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.642

Biglari Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Biglari Holdings and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Biglari we look at many different elements of the entity such as Biglari's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Biglari Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Biglari Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Biglari Holdings' worth.

Complementary Tools for Biglari Stock analysis

When running Biglari Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Biglari Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biglari Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Biglari Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biglari Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biglari Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biglari Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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